Penn State 81, Northwestern 70
There isn't much to say about how bad this game was, but I'm going to rant for about 1000 words anyways. I thought the pitiful defensive effort Northwestern put forth last week at Iowa couldn't possibly be out-done, but tonight's showing on defense proved me wrong. Penn State shot 56% from the field, and had five players in double figures despite having only 1 player on the roster who averages in double figures. It's just embarrassing to be as bad on defense as Northwestern was tonight, as they would have won the game had they been even average. The 'Cats did a fine job on offense, shooting 48% and only turning it over 9 times. Free throw shooting was a big problem as NU was just 4 for 11, which was entirely to blame on Luka Mirkovic who was 0 for 6. However, Mirkovic was one of the few people who played hard tonight and this loss has very little to do with him, as he finished with 13 points and made some nice moves in the low post. Last time out he was perfect from the line, it was just one of those nights that can happen to even the best of players (see Duke's Jason Williams, one of the greatest guards in college basketball history). Whoever said during the game thread that Mirkovic should quit the team because of his free throw shooting is the one who should be embarrassed, not Luka. I understand that disappointing losses can lead to hyperbole, but get a grip on yourself please, they lose by 20+ with Rowley or Curletti getting Mirkovic's minutes.
I'm guessing that people were expecting me to rip Bill Carmody for tonight's loss, but I'm not really going to do it. His in game coaching was fine tonight; he kept switching up the defenses to no avail, and his rotations were fine. Instead, I'm going to go off on Drew Crawford, and it has nothing to do with him only scoring 5 points. I saw guys playing tougher defense in Sunday's All-Star game than Crawford did in this game. At least twice that I counted, he didn't even try to fight through screens and left his man wide open for threes. I can't remember being this angry at a Northwestern basketball player since the days of Vince Scott aka the softest 7 footer in the history of Division 1 basketball. I can understand a kid making freshman mistakes like being out of position or being too aggressive going for a steal or a block, but I can't forgive not even trying to guard people. If I were Carmody, I would have pulled a Herb Brooks and made Crawford run sprints as soon as the game was over. Crawford should be ashamed of himself, seriously.
Ok, I lied, I'm now going to take some shots at Carmody. While he didn't do anything wrong during the game, I'm becoming more and more skeptical by the day of his abilities as a defensive teacher. His teams just do not play fundamentally sound defense, and haven't been able to get stops consistently for years. When Kevin Coble went down for the season, everybody expected Northwestern to struggle offensively. But the offense has actually gotten better since last season, at least according to Ken Pomeroy's rankings. They were 49th in the country last year, and have improved to 36th this year. However, the defense hasn't improved at all and still ranks outside the top 100 nationally. In past seasons the 'Cats haven't had Big Ten athletes, so their inability to stop teams was understandable. But now, the excuses need to end. This team has the talent necessary to be a good defensive team, and it's not happening. I touched on this a few weeks ago, and it appeared they'd turned the corner after solid defensive showings vs. Michigan and Indiana, but clearly that was a mirage. The defense for this team is a huge problem and I don't see it getting better any time soon unless there is a change in philosophy. Most fans seem to think Northwestern will finally break through to the NCAA tournament next season, and while there's no doubt the offense will be way better with Kevin Coble, I don't see a replacement for Jeremy Nash and his defensive skills on next year's roster, so it will be even tougher to get stops. Carmody has to get credit for the offense doing well this season, but he deserves even more blame for the appalling lack of defense.
Bill Carmody needs to send a message to his team, starting right now, that defense will be the priority for the rest of the season and that the five best defenders will play. If Crawford, or anyone else, isn't going to hustle on defense, he can ride the pine until he figures it out. It's not like there's much left to play for besides NIT seeding, so it's time to start building for the future, and Northwestern's future will be just as terrible as their past if this crap continues.
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Good point on the defense
According to Kenpom, we’re about the same as where we were last year with our defensive efficiency 97.9 (or .979 Point per Possession), which puts us squarely in NIT territory. The 60th-70th ranked teams are around 94.3 defensive efficiency.
Before the Iowa game, I had broken down our d efficiency vs. the big 4 (OSU, MSU, Wisco, Purdue), middle 3 (Illy, Minny and Michy) and the bottom 3 (Iowa, PSU, Indy). Against the middle three we were giving up 1.02 Points per possession (PPP). Not awesome, but tolerable given that we were averaging 1.06 PPP against that comp. We held Indy to .96 PPP, and I was hoping that would play true to form with Iowa and PSU. Unfortunately that hasn’t been the case, and I’m at a loss to figure out why.
I agree with you that we should have better horses than in ‘07. The major minutes of that ’07 squad belonged to: Tim Doyle, Kevin Coble, Craig Moore, Vince Scott, Sterling Williams w/Jeff Ryan and Jason Okrezik as your subs. Compare that to ’10: I would take Juice-Nash-Mirkovic-Shurna-Crawford w/Marcotullio and Rowley every freakin’ day and twice on sundays. Right? But the ‘07 actually had a better defensive efficiency than this year’s squad — 98.3 v. 98.9 (what the WHAT?). Even more damning, that the ’07 squad did that against a tougher strength of schedule (kenpom says 47th compared to this years 67th ranked).
Of course, the ‘10 model is a much better offensive team than ’07 — but your point is made. Given it’s improved length, height and athleticsm, This team should be much better defensively than it’s ‘07 counterpart. And that’s on Carmody to figure it out.
In terms of this year, the only other reason I got for why we haven’t stepped it up defensively is because of our short bench. Can we really expect Juice (93% of total minutes), Shurna (89.9% of total minutes) and Nash (84.3% of total minutes) to give us top quality on both ends of the floor — especially how involved our offense is? I scanned the top 20 defensive efficiency teams in the country — while I’m sure they’re more talented, none of those teams have three starters that gobble up the minutes. Credit to the guys for staying relatively healthy and giving us their career bests, but the results aren’t better.
Hope for ‘10 on the defensive end? I like that Coble and Ryan come back, and their ’09 STL% (2.5 and 2.8 respectively) compare favorably to Jeremy Nash’s ‘10 STL% (2.9). We pick up Jershon Cobb, another athletic 6’5" swingman with length. Luka’s minutes doubled this year from last, and he actually improved on his BLK% and STL%, so I believe he’s still growing there. Plus, Drew Crawford is our only guard in the top 500 nationally in blk percentage. We haven’t really had that before, so despite his poor showing yesterday, he’s at least got an athletic base to build off of.
However, all of that is moot without an evolved gameplan for that end of the court.
So, I’m at a los.
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great post
a few comments
1) the lack of a bench is definitely a good point, and that problem should be solved next year. I still can’t believe the 07 team was better than this one, thats just embarrassing.
2) as for the steals, I’m not sure how great an indicator that is of overall defensive skills. it does show that a guy has long arms and can get into passing lanes, which coble can do, but coble has always struck me as a pretty suspect one on one defender. his lack of upper body strength and lateral quickness really hurt him there. as for Ryan, I like him defensively, but he’s such a liability on offense that it’s unclear how many minutes he’ll get, and thats assuming he even comes back for a 5th year. I guess he could fit into a Chris Kramer/Travis Walton role if healthy, as they should be able to score even with him in the lineup, especially if Mirkovic keeps improving as a post player.
3) In the future, if you decide to make a detailed post like the above, feel free to put in the FanPosts section. if it’s anywhere near as good as this, the powers that be will probably bump it up to the front page, and even if they don’t, more people will see it and we can get some different perspectives and hopefully encourage more fanposting.
thanks for posting.
I didn’t see the game, out of town, but the vaunted 1-3-1 has to end immidiately. If you watch Syracuse with a 2-3, they’re in position to rebound as opposed to having the center at the top of the key with Juice Thompsen under the basket. Our rebounding is brutal at times becuase of that. Please make it stop.
by jackbuc@aol.com on Feb 19, 2010 8:56 AM CST reply actions

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