Monday Night Random Thoughts and Picks
- Monday always means the release of new NCAA tournament projections from various bracketologists, and Northwestern didn't get much love. NU was nowhere to be found on the brackets of Cheap Rug Lunardi, Jerry Palm, or Andy Glockner. Only SBNation's own Chris Dobbertean mentioned the 'Cats at all, naming them the 6th team out as of now. The aforementioned Glockner did discuss Northwestern during his weekly Bubble Watch, which is pretty much a must-read for any college basketball fan:
For Northwestern (16-7, 5-6, RPI: 65, SOS: 63), beating Michigan at home was a huge key to the Cats' likely late-season surge. The subsequent home win over IU kicked off an incredible run where NW has home-and-homes against all three of the league's worst teams (5-27 combined in Big Ten) in its final eight league games. Anything less than 10-8 would be awfully disappointing. Would that be enough?
GW: Purdue, at NC State (?)
BL: None, but can't eat many more
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Basketball Prospectus and RPI
We’d better not pin our hopes on our RPI putting us into the tourney: http://www.basketballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=451
I’m a pretty big fan of both Gasaway and KenPom, fwiw.
fwiw, pt. 2 – Rivals’ (Yahoo) bracket has us among the last in: http://collegebasketball.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=1048641
Good post. I think that most of those brackets are going to shift dramatically anyhow – someone is going to slip, and then we’ll have the fallout from the conference tournaments. This week is ridiculously important for us, and probably our toughest in terms of cashing in on expected wins (I’m already writing off the Wisconsin game). Both games are winnable but tough.
good stuff
didn’t know about the yahoo bracket, ill be sure to check it out every week.
Won't It Just Be Great...
If next year the Bubble Watch is analyzing the tournament chances of Arizona (12-11, RPI 67) vs. Seton Hall (12-9, RPI 63). 96 Teams… Whoo-hoo!
This was sarcasm, in case you couldn’t tell.
visit notournamentexpansion.blogspot.com to protest this absurd idea.
Agreed
I’m glad they’re showing a few chinks in the armor of Wisconsin, but I want us to win there. No one else.
Don't know what to think about this win
I really wanted to see Illinois collapse down the stretch. I wanted them to bomb out their last 8 games and finish something like 10-8 in the conference. Now it looks more likely to be 12-6. Now we’re suddenly looking at being the #6 team in the conference, if we beat Minnesota. Looking at the bracket, I don’t like our odds.
However, I do realize that their last two wins have some upsides. If Illinois finishes strong, they can end up in the Top 50 and that adds a win to our credentials. I also like the idea that maybe, MAYBE, there’s a chink in Wisconsin’s armor that we can exploit. In that sense, my hopes of us winning there have gone up from about 3% to about 8%. But, it could also be that Wisconsin comes out pissed and attempts to wipe the floor with us.
I hate being on the bubble.
Talked to CBS Sports Gary Parrish tonight on my radio show
He said we have a “good chance” and that there is NO WAY we are out if we finish 11-7 in conf. 10-8 is still probably 60-65 percent. 9-9 33 percent. Just win baby!
Derrick Rose will lead us back to the promise land.
In Vinny We Trust!
just saw this....
what radio show would that be? because there is zero chance NU is getting in to the NCAAs at 9-9 in the Big Ten unless they make a deep run in the Big Ten tournament, and I have a very hard time believing Gary Parrish said that.
Also, the term is “promised land”, not “promise land”.

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