Escaping Assembly Hall: Northwestern vs. Indiana Recap
Northwestern may not be going to the NCAA tournament, hell the NIT isn't even a guarantee at this point, but they showed me something last night, maintaining their poise in a hostile environment and withstanding every run Indiana made in the second half. It would have been pretty easy for NU to quit on the season after the Penn State debacle, but instead they have bounced back well and done what they couldn't do last year: win on the road against the bottom of the conference.
The win completed a football/basketball sweep of Indiana, making them the second team Big Ten this year to be so shamed. I fully expected that NU hadn't done that to two teams in one year for decades, but NU actually accomplished that feat in 2005-06, sweeping both Iowa and Purdue in football and basketball.
NU will now finish no worse than ninth in the Big Ten. I know, not exactly something to be thrilled about, but a week ago, last place seemed like a real possibility, so it's a step in the right direction. And amazingly, NU is now only a game and a half out of 4th place. It would take a miracle for NU to finish in the top 5 of the conference and get a first round bye in the Big Ten tournament, but with a strong finish to the season they could move up to 6th or 7th, which would allow them to play Iowa or Indiana in the Big Ten tournament first round, and more importantly avoid a quarterfinal match-up with Ohio State.
Game notes after the jump.
- NU led by 10 at the half, and it was largely due to Tom Crean's bizarre defensive game plan. Whenever Luka Mirkovic got the ball in the low post, Indiana immediately double-teamed him. Yes, really. Every time they did this, NU either got an open three or a lay-up, as one thing Mirkovic is good at is passing out of the post.
- All 5 of Mirkovic's points came in the first half, on a 15 foot jumpers and a top of the key three. After the three, he ran back down the court doing his patented Serbian finger guns move, drawing the ire of the Indiana crowd. Hilariously, Indiana's Tom Pritchard scored on the next possession and copied Luka's move on his way back down the court, which really got the crowd going.
We've seen Luka do this a couple times on the road and anger the crowd (the other time was at Purdue), and while the announcers always criticize him for it, I don't think it's a big deal; in fact it's rather hilarious. What is a big deal is that Luka lets the crowd get to him; he responded to the taunts by going one on one and forcing up an absurdly difficult running hook. If he just laughed at the crowd and kept playing within himself, the taunts would be awesome. So stop letting the crowd get to you, Luka.
- John Shurna is back to his old self. He hit 3 of 5 threes to get back to 50% on the season, and more importantly was attacking the basket with confidence. He also did a great job on defense down the stretch despite having 4 fouls at the time, which was odd because he got beat a couple times earlier in the game: somehow he got better with 4 fouls, rotating over to block Christian Watford late in the game, and pulling down a couple key defensive boards in traffic. Good to see.
- Alex Marcotullio was excellent off the bench, playing heavily in place of foul-plagued JerShon Cobb. Marco finished with 11 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, one of the best games of his career, and he was a key part of the late 1st half run that helped NU open up the lead.
- Conversely, Davide Curletti and Mike Capocci were both horrendous off the bench. Curletti fouled out in 14 minutes, as he still can't set a screen legally, and he did nothing positive on either end of the court, finishing with more fouls than points, rebounds and assist combined. Meanwhile, Capocci continues to get abused on the defensive end, which is totally inexcusable since that's the one thing he should be bringing to the table, yet he let Jordan Hulls waltz right by him for a lay-up and was promptly benched. I don't expect anything from Capocci on offense, but it makes no sense that a guy with his athleticism can't stay in front of people on the defensive end.
- Drew Crawford's lack of development has been very disappointing this season; he's essentially the same guy he was last year. What worries me most is his inability to create his own shot. A couple of times in the second half, NU isolated Crawford against Verdell Jones III (not exactly the world's greatest defender), and both times Crawford turned it over. For such an athletic player, it's odd how slow Crawford moves when he goes to the basket, it's reminiscent of Evan Watkins trying to scramble. He really needs to work on that part of his game in the off-season.
- Michael Thompson had a very strange game. At times he was brilliant (scoring 12 points in about 3 minutes late in the first half, hitting all 11 of his free throws, many coming down the stretch) but he also had 5 turnovers against just 2 assists, and two of those turnovers came in the final minutes and were of the unforced variety. At times he was trying to do too much and forced up several really tough shots in the lane, but he made up for all of that with celebratory high-stepping dribble after the final buzzer (see the post-game thread).
- While the interior defense was suspect as usual, NU did a good job of defending the three, allowing Indiana to hit just 4 of 13. I think defending the three is very important for NU; with the personnel they have, the interior defense is always going to be pretty bad, and when they start over-compensating for it and allow teams to get hot from three, that's when you see the opponent go crazy and put up ridiculous efficiency numbers (see the Purdue, Illinois, and Wisconsin losses).
That's it for now, more Big Ten and post-season tournament related stuff coming this week.
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Getting hot at the right time?
Juice showed the swagger last night. Shurna’s getting his giddy-up back. Can Crawford find that next gear against the Nits to give us a true “Big 3?”
While Drew seems to have stalled in his development, how ‘bout some love for Marco? During his frosh year, he straight out disappeared in conference play. This year, he’s become a sparkplug — he’s been able to hit the three, as well as be a “gritty glue” guy off the bench. Ok, he’s not the “Microwave”, but I’m happy with his “Hotpot” performance so far.
Love to see Luka just embrace the heel heat. Joakim Noah would be a great role model — there’s a guy who just has a ton of energy and passion when he plays, however it doesn’t seem as off-putting. Somehow that dude transcended from “son of French tennis god, and free spirit” to “untouchable, even in trading for ’Melo.”
www.massivecreativity.com
mirk as heel
i think he does embrace it – see, purdue game – but the problem is, he isn’t great. when he gets that adrenaline, it just means he’s going to force up some contested looks in the pain and it’ll disrupt the flow of nu’s offense. i love it when stars embrace the heat of opposing crowds, but it’s less fun when your underwhelming center does it.
and yes, alex marcotullio deserves props.
by Rodger Sherman on Feb 20, 2011 2:55 PM CST up reply actions
player development
I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again. The lack of player improvement (Crawford, Curletti, Luka) rests squarely on Carmody’s shoulders. He hasn’t been able to develop talent for anything in his tenure here, and you’re right in pointing it out again in Crawford. Each of his players comes to Northwestern at some level, and most leave at the same level. You might be able to say that Shurna’s improved, but I don’t know how much of that is just him taking other opportunities to do so (USA national scrimmage, summer ball, etc) versus Carmody’s tutelage.
At this point I’m squarely in the “Carmody must go at the end of the season barring a miraculous NCAA run.” His lack of player development combined with lackluster recruiting, failure to secure talented centers, poor scheduling, and general failure in the conference should earn him the pink slip.
So let me get this straight...
When a guy does well under his term (Vukusic, Tim Doyle, Craig Moore, Shurna, heck even Tavaras Hardy) then Carmody had nothing to do with it?
I don’t have the stats, but I assume that every coach brings in a recruiting class and some pan out and some don’t. Ideally you’d like to have 100%, but I don’t think any coach can boast that. (Maybe Bo Ryan? Matt Painter?) Even the great Izzo can’t claim that.
www.massivecreativity.com
Having only been following the program for 4 years, I can’t say to Hardy, Vukusic and Doyle, but I’m not sure how much of the improvement of those players was a direct result of Carmody’s ability. I’m more interested in the players that come to NU meh at best and wind up being great (or at least among the best on the team). I don’t like relying on sophomores because the senior class hit a plateau two years ago. While you and Loretta do mention some players, I feel like after 11 years, Carmody should be able to claim more than 6 or 7 “this guy turned into something worth mentioning” guys.
As for recruiting it’s not the classes that are lackluster, it’s his efforts. I’ve read several accounts of him barely lifting a finger to do so and leaving the bulk of the effort to Hardy. Fitz is out on the trail as often as he can be, hawking his wares with enthusiasm. If only Carmody was half as into it…
Each of his players comes to Northwestern at some level, and most leave at the same level
this isn’t accurate at all. Jitim Young was mediocre as a freshman, was All-Big Ten as a senior. Jeremy Nash was god-awful as a freshman, he turned into a solid contributor as a junior and senior. Mohammed Hachad had a similar career arc as Nash. Juice Thompson has improved a lot over the course of his career. And then there’s all the guys macarthur mentioned.
Craig Moore had a sophomore slump...and other rambling thoughts
In recent memory, Craig Moore had a tough second season — his eFG slumped to.498 after notching a decent .544 his frosh season. However, he upped his game the following two years: .598 and .586.
Hopefully, Drew can also bounce back as well — he posted a .543 his frosh year, and so far is at a .513 clip at eFG.
Also, for the Luka haters out there — that dude has also steadily improved in eFG (.469 – .505 – .522). He’s also improved his rebounding – OReb%: 8.2 – 8.9 – 9.7. (kenpom cites that OReb may be a better indicator of rebounding ability, as O-boards are tougher to get).
In terms of present squad, I’d offer that Freundt and Capocci have panned out less than I had hoped — though Freundt still has a senior year to be a contributor. While Capocci has had flashes this season of being a contributor, he was actually more heralded than Juice coming in. Rivals had Capocci as #20 in Illinois 2007 (on a list that included in its Top 10 -Derrick Rose, Evan Turner, Demetri McCamey, Mike Tisdale and Jacob Pullen). Is that because Carmody didn’t develop him, or is it another case of recruiting wire hype? IIRC, Curletti was offered preferred walk-on by Izzo at MSU, and is currently where I’d expect him to be as a junior – physical banger, shown he can hit the three, still needs to figure out how to stay on the court. We’ll also never know if Jeff Ryan could’ve been that veteran bench contributor due to his injuries.
Looking forward, we need to bring in better talent.
2003-2006:Coble, Nash, Ryan, Okrezik, Doyle, Moore, Sterling Williams, Vince Scott, Mike Thompson, Ivan Tolic, J-Marc Melchior, Bernard Cote
You had 4 incoming transfers (Cote, Doyle, MT 1, Okrezik), and 2 Eus-less Euros (Tolic and Melchior) and you could argue that there are 4 quality players (Coble, Nash, Doyle, Moore) and 2 contributors (Williams, Ryan)
2007-2010: Cobb, Marcotullio, Crawford, Mirkovic, Shurna, Rowley, Curletti, Capocci, Juice, Freundt, Baran, Peljuisic.
While Baran and Peljusic continued the tradition on non-factor European players, I’d offer that you have more quality players in Juice, Shurna, Crawford, Cobb, Mirkovic, Marcotullio. And I’d still take Curletti and Capocci than alot of the “mid-tier talent” from that previous set.
What will 2011- bring? If it continues to trend upward, I like our chances.
www.massivecreativity.com
by macarthur31 on Feb 21, 2011 10:12 AM CST up reply actions
curletti/capocci
they’ve been useless… but i can’t fault carmody for playing them. can’t have a six man rotation – that’s insanity.
A Win Against Penn State...
And the final two games could be very interesting. I liked this win a lot, though. Although we were lucky that Indiana’s players couldn’t corral the ball in the post several times in the second half. There were at least two chances for them to take the lead, and that would have really gotten that crowd going.
Two more wins should have us in the NIT (three makes it a lock).
three wins...
you’re 9-9 with a win in the kohl center. that’s a tourney resume (with some big ten tourney wins.)
by Rodger Sherman on Feb 20, 2011 7:06 PM CST up reply actions
I'm Talking Total Wins
Three wins including the conference tournament. Three wins in the regular season puts us back in the NCAA tournament discussion.
i didn’t see it, but i guess there was a little conversation between Crean and Juice during the postgame handshake line, as apparently Juice was still holding the ball. not a big deal, i’m sure, but it’s weird that Tom Crean needs to work on that part of his game:
by firebillcarmody on Feb 21, 2011 10:07 AM CST reply actions

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